On Saturday, December 23rd, the Chargers are hosting the Bills at SoFi Stadium. This week 16 NFL matchup kicks off at 8:00 ET with None carrying the television coverage. The Bills are set as 11 point favorites on the road in this AFC showdown. Can they pull off a road win and cover the spread? If you’re confident in their chances, you can bet this game at DraftKings.
Buffalo Bills Preview
The Bills’ week 16 matchup vs. Los Angeles will be their 7th road game of the season. On the road, they have gone 2-4 and are 8-6 overall. In the AFC-East, Buffalo is 2nd and 9th in the AFC. The Bills’ scoring margin for the season is currently +8.9. This has contributed to their ATS record of 6-8.
The Bills’ 21-point win over the Cowboys was one of their largest margins of victory in recent history. Offensively, the Bills averaged 5 yards per play for a total of 351 yards. On the other end, the Cowboys went 5/13 on 3rd down and finished with 195 yards. Going into the game, Buffalo was favored by 2.5 and went on to cover the spread. Running back James Cook had a big game for the Bills, running for one touchdown and 179 yards. Josh Allen completed 46% of his passes for 94 yards.
Los Angeles Chargers Preview
Leading up to their matchup with the Bills, the Chargers are 5-9. They currently sit 4th in the AFC-West and are in 13th place in the AFC. Taking a look at the Chargers’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -3. This has resulted in an ATS record of 5-9.
In their loss to the Raiders, Los Angeles didn’t put up any points in the first quarter. The Chargers totaled 326 yards on offense while allowing 378 yards on defense. Los Angeles’ 42 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3 point underdogs. Easton Stick threw for 257 yards while completing 71% of his passes and throwing for 257. Stick threw for three touchdowns.
Last season, the Bills and Chargers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Chargers have the leg up at 2-1. The Chargers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 57 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Chargers vs. Bills Odds Analysis
Considering the present moneyline odds, Los Angeles is currently given a 17% chance of victory, along with a moneyline payout of +496. In contrast, the Bills’ implied win percentage is 88% with a moneyline of -732.
The over/under market has seen changes from its opening at 40.5, now resting at 42.5.
Since the lines opened, Buffalo has shifted from being -8.5 point favorites to their current line of -11 (-110). Meanwhile, Los Angeles is currently +11 (-110) point underdogs at home.
How to Bet Chargers vs. Bills in New York
Buffalo’s passing game struggled in their recent matchup against Dallas. I don’t anticipate a sudden improvement, which is why I’m favoring Los Angeles as 11-point underdogs.
Buffalo’s games this season have seen an average of 45.2 points scored. Given the current over/under line at 42.5, my choice is to go with the over.
- SportsBettingNY ATS Prediction: Chargers +11
- SportsBettingNY OU Predict: Over 42.5