Week 10 of the 2021 NFL season goes on Sunday, November 14, with the AFC East showdown at MetLife Stadium, so we bring you the best Jets vs. Bills betting pick and odds. New York meets Buffalo for the first time this season, and the Bills swept the Jets last year while going 1-1 against the spread.
Buffalo is a firm 12.5-point fave on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Jets are listed as +500 moneyline dogs, while the totals are set at 47.5 points.
The Bills suffered a shocking defeat in Week 9
The Buffalo Bills (5-3; 4-3-1 ATS) laid the egg last Sunday, losing as huge 14.5-point road favorites at the Jacksonville Jaguars, 9-6. They failed to score a touchdown, while Josh Allen turned the ball over three times in the second half. Allen went 31-of-47 for 264 yards and a couple of interceptions and got sacked four times in what was a really bad day in the office for the Bills’ signal-caller.
The Bills have dropped two of their last three games, going 0-2-1 ATS in the process. After a bye in Week 7, they outlasted the Miami Dolphins 26-11 as 15-point home favorites in Week 8. Over the last two weeks, Josh Allen has been Buffalo’s best rusher with 105 yards on 13 carries.
Buffalo ranks fourth in the league in scoring offense (29.4) and 11th in rushing yards per game (119.8), while Josh Allen has thrown for 2,236 yards, 17 touchdowns, and five interceptions. The Bills surrender 14.8 points per contest (1st in the NFL) on 85.6 rushing yards (4th) and 177.0 passing yards (1st).
The Jets’ D continues to struggle
The New York Jets (2-6; 2-6 ATS) have finally managed to get things going offensively. After a surprising 34-31 victory to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 8, the Jets dropped 30 points on the Indianapolis Colts this past Thursday.
However, they surrendered 45 points at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, suffering a heavy loss as 10-point road underdogs. The Jets racked up 486 total yards while yielding 532 in a return, and the Colts ran 30 times for a whopping 260 yards.
Mike White left the Colts game early due to a forearm injury, so Josh Jonson led the way with 317 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception. White should be back under center in Week 10, while rookie QB Zach Wilson is still recovering from a knee injury. The Jets tally only 18.0 points per game (27th in the NFL) and allow 31.4 in a return (32nd).
- 13-5-1 ATS in the last 19 games overall
- 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 games played in November
- 2-7 ATS in the last nine games overall
- 1-4 ATS in the last five games against the AFC East
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Pick
No more fooling around for the Bills whose top spot in the AFC East is in jeopardy. This is clearly a bounce-back spot for Buffalo, so I’m backing the visitors to cover a huge spread. Their defense has been elite so far this season, while the Bills’ offense has a nice opportunity to get things going against the worst scoring defense in the NFL.
Last year, the Bills beat the Jets 18-10 at MetLife Stadium, scoring six field goals. Buffalo has just failed to score a TD against the lowly Jaguars team, so the Bills will be fired up to make amends in this game.
Pick: Take Buffalo Bills -12.5 at -110
As I’ve mentioned, the Jets have found some offensive rhythm, but their defense has been horrible as of late, allowing 130 points over the last three games. New York will have a tall task against the Bills’ stout defensive unit, so I lean to the under, though Buffalo could easily score 35-plus points against the Jets; struggling defense.
The under has hit in Buffalo’s last four games on the road, and it is 3-1 in the previous four meetings between the Bills and Jets.
Pick: Go under 47.5 points at -110