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Green Bay Packers vs. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills

Green Bay Packers vs. Buffalo Bills Odds, Pick, Prediction 10/30/22

October 28th, 2022 By: Bob Dabo

The final game of Sunday, October 30, in the Week 8 of the NFL will be played in Buffalo, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Packers vs. Bills betting pick and odds.

Green Bay is looking to avoid the fourth consecutive defeat, but that will be hard to do when they visit Buffalo at Highmark Stadium. The Bills are firm 11-point favorites on WynnBet NY Sportsbook, while the total is set at 47.5 points. These inter-conference rivals haven’t met since 2018.

Packers fell short against the Commanders

The Green Bay Packers (3-4-0, 2-5-0 ATS) are playing their worst football of the season at the moment. After losing to both New York outfits, the Giants and Jets, they suffered a tight 23-21 road defeat to the Washington Commanders. Washington was a better side in every department and deserved to grab this win, while the Packers can only hope for better displays in the future, but the toughest game of the season is incoming for them in Buffalo.

Aaron Rodgers completed 23 of 35 passes for 194 yards and two touchdowns. Interestingly, both of his TD passes went to running back Aaron Jones; he transformed into a receiver as the Packers’ run offense didn’t work. Allen Lazard got 55 yards on six catches. Green Bay was pretty strong on defense, though, and had four individuals with 10+ tackles: Quay Walker (13), De’Vondre Campbell (12), Adrian Amos (10), and Rasul Douglas (10).

WR Randall Cobb (ankle) is out indefinitely. WR Allen Lazard (shoulder), LB Rashan Gary (concussion), and T David Bakhtiari (knee) are questionable to play on Sunday against the Bills.

Bills got their revenge in Kansas City

The Buffalo Bills (5-1-0, 4-1-1 ATS) put the unexpected Week 3 road loss to the Miami Dolphins behind and answered with three straight victories before hitting a bye week. After destroying the Pittsburgh Steelers at home, the Bills got their revenge win over the Kansas City Chiefs on the road. Buffalo was down late in the fourth quarter, but this time around Josh Allen knew how to beat Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs; the Bills took a 24-20 victory.

Josh Allen completed 27 of 40 passes for 329 yards and three touchdowns. Stefon Diggs continued with his astonishing displays as he posted a game-high 148 yards and a touchdown on ten catches. Gabe Davis and Dawson Knox also scored touchdowns; Knox was on the receiving end of a game-winning TD with just over a minute remaining on the game clock. Devin Singletary was solid on the ground with 85 yards on 17 attempts. Von Miller reminisced of his Super Bowl MVP performance with a pair of sacks, while Tremaine Edmunds led Buffalo with ten tackles.

S Micah Hyde (neck) is out indefinitely, while T Spencer Brown (ankle) is questionable to feature against the Packers on Sunday.

Green Bay:

• 0-4 ATS in the last four games overall

• 1-5 ATS in the last six road games

• 1-5 ATS in the last six games following an ATS loss

Buffalo:

• 8-2-2 ATS in the last 12 games overall

• 5-0-1 ATS in the last six home games

Green Bay Packers vs. Buffalo Bills Pick  

I really don’t know what Aaron Rodgers needs to do to lead his team to the win over the Bills. The Packers have a weak offense that is averaging only 18.3 ppg and are facing the Bills’ best defense in the NFL which allows 13.5 ppg. Rodgers is without top wideout options, so he must convert his running backs into receivers. While that worked fine in Washington, I don’t think it will against Buffalo. Josh Allen and the Bills’ offense are too much to handle for the Packers’ defense, which isn’t bad, to be honest. It is certainly a better part of the team. But, still, the Bills our are #1 betting pick and will take this one without problems.

Pick: Take the Bills at -11 (-110)

The Total

The Bills average 29.3 points per game and considering Green Bay allowed 23+ points in the last four games, I am backing the hosts to score 30+ here. We don’t see the Packers suffering blowout losses much, but this game has the potential to enter garbage time in the fourth quarter, and that’s the period we could have plenty of points. Over is 8-2 in Buffalo’s previous ten games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their last game, while Over is 7-1-1 in Green Bay’s last nine games on turf.

Pick: Over 47.5 points (-110)

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