Probably the most intriguing game of Week 10 in the NFL will take place in Buffalo on Sunday, November 13, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Vikings vs. Bills betting pick and odds.
Minnesota is aiming for the seventh win in a row when they take on Buffalo at Highmark Stadium. The Bills are 4-point favorites on BetRivers NY Sportsbook, while the total is set at 44 points. These inter-conference rivals haven’t met since 2018.
Vikings are marching on
The Minnesota Vikings (7-1-0, 3-4-1 ATS) are, among the unbeaten Philadelphia Eagles, who are actually the only team to defeat Minnesota, the hottest team in the NFL right now. After losing to the Eagles in Week 2, the Vikings connected six victories, each turned out to be a one-possession game. The most recent one was against the Washington Commanders on the road, and it was a comeback win as Minnesota trailed 17-7 and won 20-17 in the end. Greg Joseph scored a 28-yard field goal with 12 seconds to go to seal the deal for the Vikings.
Kirk Cousins completed 22 of 40 passes for 265 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Justin Jefferson was once again phenomenal in the air as he registered 115 yards and a TD on seven catches. T.J. Hockenson and Adam Thielen combined for 137 yards on 12 receptions, while, interestingly, Dalvin Cook scored a receiving touchdown. Cook did have a game-high 47 rushing yards on 17 attempts, but Minnesota abandoned its run offense as the visitors trailed by double digits. Defensively, Danielle Hunter had a pair of sacks, while Jordan Hicks contributed with a game-high 12 tackles.
DT Dalvin Tomlinson (calf) and CB Cameron Dantzler (ankle) are questionable to face the Bills on Sunday.
Bills couldn’t extend the winning streak to five games
The Buffalo Bills (6-2-0, 4-3-1 ATS) were on a four-game winning run but failed to make it five in a row as they fell short to the divisional foes New York Jets on the road. The Jets made another surprise and held the Bills’ high-octane offense to season-low 17 points in a 20-17 victory. Buffalo had a 14-3 lead in the second quarter but scored miserable three points in the second 30 minutes and deservedly lost.
Josh Allen completed 18 of 34 passes for 205 yards but failed to throw for a touchdown for the first time this season. He did throw a pair of interceptions, which he compensated with two rushing touchdowns. Allen led the game in rushing yards with 86 on nine carries. Stefon Diggs was the best receiver on the field in terms of yards with 93 on five catches. The Bills had three defenders with 10+ tackles: Damar Hamlin, Tremaine Edmunds, and Jaquan Johnson.
S Micah Hyde (neck) and WR Jamison Crowder (ankle) are out indefinitely. S Jordan Poyer (elbow), CB Tre’Davious White (knee), LB Matt Milano (oblique), QB Josh Allen (elbow), DE Greg Rousseau (ankle), and T Spencer Brown (ankle) are questionable to play against Minnesota on Sunday.
Trends:
Minnesota:
- 2-5 ATS in the last seven games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game
- 1-3-1 ATS in the last five road games
Buffalo:
- 6-1-2 ATS in the last nine games following a straight-up loss
- 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven home games
- 7-2-2 ATS in the last 11 games following an ATS loss
Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills Pick
This one is quite simple. If Allen is available to play – back the Bills. If he isn’t – go with the Vikings. I know that Josh is a strong guy and it would take a lot more than a minor elbow injury to keep him on the sideline, so my guess is he will be ready to play on Sunday. Still, keep up with the updates and stay informed before placing a bet.
Minnesota has been impressive in the last two months, but that positive streak has to end sometime and somewhere, and I think Buffalo is the place for that. Especially after the Bills lost the last game. Buffalo is a better team in every segment; they have the best defense which allows 14.8 points per game, and the third-best offense which averages 27.5 ppg.
Minnesota’s secondary is among the worst in the league as it allows 256.9 yards per game to the opposing receivers, while Buffalo’s pass offense is the third-best as it averages 292.1 ypg.
Pick: Take the Bills at -3.5 (-110) is available at all NY sports betting sites currently
The Total
Both teams prefer pass offense over run offense, but unlike the Vikings, who have a weak defense against passing, the Bills are among the top 10 teams in that regard. They are keeping the rivals to 194.8 passing yards per contest, while they also have a top 10 run defense, so the Vikings will find it hard to move the chains and score multiple touchdowns here despite Justin Jefferson’s extraordinary form and the fact that he is one of the best three wide receivers in the NFL. Buffalo didn’t allow more than 17 points at home this year and I don’t think that will change on Sunday. Under is 6-0 in the Bills’ last six games overall.
Pick: Go Under 45.5 points (-135)
