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Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants
NY Giants

Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 10/2/22

September 30th, 2022 By: Bob Dabo

The NFL action continues with Week 4 games on Sunday, October 2, and one of those games is this NFC clash in the Big Apple, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Bears vs. Giants betting pick and odds.

Chicago and New York opened the new NFL season with surprising 2-1 records, and now both teams are hoping to improve to a 3-1 when they meet at MetLife Stadium. The Giants are 3-point favorites on BetRivers NY Sportsbook, while the total is set at 39.5 points. These NFC rivals have met once in 2021, and the Bears won that game 29-3 in Chicago.

Bears edged the Texans at home

The Chicago Bears responded to a road loss to the divisional foes Green Bay Packers with a 23-20 home victory over the Houston Texans. It was a pretty tied game that could end differently, but Chicago’s kicker Cairo Santos gave his team a win with a 30-yard field goal as time expired. Indeed, the rivals have been quite equal; in total yards (363-329), first downs (17-17), and turnovers (2-2).

Justin Fields didn’t have the best of games as he completed just eight of 17 passes for 106 yards, no touchdowns, and two interceptions. However, the second-year running back out of Virginia Tech, Khalil Herbert, destroyed Houston on the ground with career-high 157 yards and two touchdowns on 20 carries. He stepped in for injured David Montgomery and delivered an impressive performance. Roquan Smith was a monster on defense with game-high 16 total tackles.

Montgomery was forced from the last game with an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will play Sunday versus the Giants. LB Matthew Adams (hamstring) and CB Jaylon Johnson (quad) are questionable to feature on Sunday.

Giants suffered the first loss of the season

The New York Giants managed to beat the Tennessee Titans and Carolina Panthers to kick off a new NFL campaign but then lost to Dak Prescott-less Dallas Cowboys at home. It was a rather uneventful game in the first half as we saw just nine combined points. The divisional foes combined for 30 in the second 30 minutes, but unluckily for the Giants, the Cowboys took a 23-16 win.

Daniel Jones completed 20 of 37 passes for 196 yards, no touchdowns, and one interception. His offensive line didn’t provide enough protection, Jones was sacked five times and was hit on 12 occasions. The quarterback was impressive on the ground with 79 yards on nine carries and moved the chains with rushing when his team needed it the most. Saquon Barkley had 81 yards on 14 carries and scored the Giant’s lone TD in this loss. The defense failed to produce a single sack or force a turnover, but Julian Love led all the players in tackles with 14 in total.

Sterling Shepard suffered a torn ACL in his left knee, and he will miss the remainder of the 2022 season. DE Leonard Williams (knee), CB Aaron Robinson (appendix), and WR Wan’Dale Robinson (knee) are questionable to play against Chicago on Sunday.

Trends:

Chicago:

  • 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 games overall
  • 5-15 ATS in the last 20 vs. NFC rivals
  • 1-4 ATS in the last five road games

New York:

  • 5-0 ATS in the last five games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game
  • 4-1 ATS in the last five games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game

Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants Pick  

It’s going to be a tight encounter at MetLife Stadium, and I am only going with the Giants because of a home-field advantage. The pressure will be on Justin Fields following his worst NFL performance in Week 3, and even though the Giants didn’t produce a sack against Dallas, I am backing the G-Men to harass Chicago’s QB in this one. 

On the other side, New York is now even weaker through the air after Shepard’s season-ending injury, so Saquon Barkley could have a big game against the third-worst run defense in the league that allows 157.0 yards per game.

Pick: Take the Giants at -2.5 (-130)

The Total

Both teams are combining for 36.0 points per contest and both belong to the bottom three in the league when it comes to pass offense. However, they are in the top four in run offense, so expect to see plenty of running from the likes of Barkley, Herbert, Fields, and Jones, something similar we saw in New York’s latest game against Dallas. Under is 4-1 in the last five H2H meetings; Under is 21-5-2 in the Giants’ previous 28 games overall, Under is 15-5-2 in New York’s last 22 vs. NFC rivals, while Under is 18-6-2 in the Giants’ last 26 home games.

Pick: Go Under 40.5 points (-130)

Betting Pick: New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – 10/2/22

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