At 3:00 ET, the Miami Heat (24-21) will visit the New York Knicks (28-17) in a matchup of two Eastern Conference teams. The Knicks are currently favored by 5 points, and the over/under line is set at 217.
This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York City. The Knicks have won 5 straight games, while the Heat have lost 5 in a row. ABC will have the TV coverage.
Miami Heat Preview
Miami has lost five straight games and is currently 24-21 on the season. In the Eastern Conference, they are in 7th place, but they lead the Southeast Division.
As the underdog, Miami has gone 6-12 straight up and 8-10 against the spread. Today, they are getting 5 points on the spread and have gone 3-4 ATS as the underdog.
In their last game, the Heat lost to the Celtics by a score of 143-110. The O/U line for that game was 225, and Miami was getting 8 points on the spread.
This season, Miami has an O/U record of 19-26, and their games have averaged 221.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 217, and 35 of their games have had higher O/U lines.
For the season, Miami is 19-24 against the spread and 11-10 ATS on the road. In their last three games, they have failed to cover the spread.
When it comes to scoring, the Heat are 27th in the NBA at 110.5 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 107.2 points per game, which is 29th in the league.
So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 35.6% of their games. Additionally, they have failed to reach the league average in 64.4% of their contests.
When it comes to their pace of play, the Heat are 29th in the NBA at 96.4 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 25th in the league at 46%.
This season, the Heat’s defense is the 7th ranked defense in the NBA at 7th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 73.3% of their games. In their previous game, the Heat’s defense struggled against the Celtics, giving up 143 points on a field goal percentage of 63%.
New York Knicks Preview
The Knicks are favored by 5 points at BetMGM in today’s game against the Heat. This season, New York has a record of 20-6 as the favorite and has won four straight games as the favorite. In those games, they have gone 17-9 ATS with an average scoring margin of +10.2 points per game.
At home, the Knicks have won four straight games and have an average scoring margin of +10.0 points per game. Their ATS record at home is 13-7, and they have covered the spread in two straight games at home.
New York’s O/U record for the season is 18-26-1, and the under has hit in their last seven games. Today’s O/U line is set at 217, and their games have averaged a combined 225 points per game this season.
In their last game, the Knicks easily covered the spread as 2.5-point underdogs, defeating the Nuggets by a score of 122-84. The combined scoring of 206 points was well below the O/U line of 222.
The Knicks are currently 5th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 28-17. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 19-10 compared to 9-7 against the West.
The Knicks have been a below-average offensive team this season, ranking 16th in scoring at 115.2 points per game. At home, they are averaging 114.2 points compared to 115.9 on the road.
When it comes to pace, New York is 28th in the league with an average of 96.6 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 20th at 46%.
So far, the Knicks have been an above-average three-point shooting team, connecting on 37% of their attempts (13th). They are also 9th in free throw attempts and 4th in offensive rebounds.
In the current season, the Knicks defense has excelled, sitting 2nd in the NBA by allowing 109.8 points per game. The New York defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.7% of their field goal attempts vs. New York.
Last season, the Heat and Knicks did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Knicks have the leg up at 2-1. The Knicks also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 200 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2. As the host vs. the Heat, the Knicks have gone 1-2 vs the spread.
How to Bet Knicks vs. Heat in New York
For a point-spread bet in this Heat vs. Knicks matchup, we’re leaning towards the Heat at +5. Although our projections show the Knicks winning 114-111, we suggest placing your bet on the Heat for the point-spread. Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 217 and given that our model is projecting 225 points between the teams, we like the over.
- SportsBettingNY ATS Prediction: Heat +5
- SportsBettingNY OU Prediction: Over 217