Chis Sale is scheduled to start tonight against the New York Mets. This game will be played in Fenway Park. The Mets are 29-45 on the road. The Mets are five games below .500. Taijuan Walker will pitch for New York. Walker is 7-10 with a 4.27 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Let’s hope the Red Sox don’t wear their ugly yellow uniforms for the second straight night.
The current line is Red Sox -175 with an over/under of nine runs. Bet the Mets moneyline and your payout will be +155, meaning you will make $155 for a wager of $100. Let’s take a quick look at whether it is a good idea to bet on the Mets tonight and whether the over/under is worth a play.
The Moneyline
The Mets are an atrocious 3-7 in their last 10 games. The team is batting a pathetic .251 in that stretch. The Mets’ pitchers are allowing 5.44 earned runs per game in their prior 10 outings. However, Boston pitcher Chris Sale has battled coronavirus two times this season, meaning he might not have his usual stamina. As a result, the Mets aren’t as large of underdogs as most gamblers would assume.
Mets’ pitcher Taijuan Walker is averaging around five innings per start. Walker allowed two runs in his last outing, a 4-3 loss to the Phillies. However, Walker surrendered eight runs in the outing before that against the Yankees. Sale has been solid in his most recent outings.
However, the Red Sox being slight favorites in this game is a red flag that indicates the house doesn’t think Sale can go more than five or six innings. If you want some action on the monyeline, the best bet is a small play on the Red Sox to win the game.
The Over/Under
The Mets have enough righthanded power to take Sale deep once or twice tonight. Add in the fact that Sale probably won’t go more than six innings as his stamina is still relatively low and the over 8.5 runs looks like a solid play. The Sox should have no problem putting up a crooked number in one or even a couple innings against Walker.
Let’s assume the Mets score two runs against Sale and three runs against the Red Sox’ bullpen. Boston should be good for 4+ runs. The Red Sox lineup put up six runs last night after scoring one and two runs in the prior games, respectively. Boston’s bats appear to be heating up at the most important time of the season. This game should go over nine runs.
