Milwaukee takes on New York for the first time in 2022, so we have prepared the best Brewers vs. Mets betting pick and odds for Tuesday night’s opener of a three-game National League series at Citi Field in New York.
According to BetMGM NY, the Brewers are +125 moneyline underdogs with a total of 8.0 runs, while the Mets sit at -145 odds. Last year, Milwaukee won four of its six tilts versus the Mets but dropped a three-game set at Citi Field.
The Brewers look to stay on the winning path
The Milwaukee Brewers (34-28) outlasted the Washington Nationals 4-1 this past Sunday to put an end to their eight-game losing streak. After surrendering a thumping 37 runs over their previous four outings, the Brewers’ pitching staff finally showed some pride and held the Nats to a single run.
In the last couple of weeks, the Brewers have compiled a pedestrian 5.27 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, and .286 batting average against. Their offense has been struggling, too, tallying an awful .209 batting average to go with the fourth-lowest OPS in the majors (.638).
Adrian Houser will get the starting call Tuesday. He’s 3-6 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 11 starts (57.1 innings) this season. The 29-year-old righty has allowed five earned runs in two of his previous three starts. He’s gone 0-4 with a 4.35 ERA and 4.94 FIP over his last six appearances and 31 innings of work.
The Mets finished their ten-game road trip in style
The New York Mets (40-22) defeated the Los Angeles Angels 4-1 this past Sunday to clinch a three-game interleague series and wrap up their tough ten-game road trip with a 5-5 record. The Mets split a four-game set at the LA Dodgers and lost a three-game series at the San Diego Padres before outlasting the Halos in Anaheim.
Over the last 15 days of action, New York has gone 8-5 while scoring 73 runs on a strong .279/.344/.432 slash line. On the pitching side of things, the Mets have registered an underwhelming 4.38 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, and .257 batting average against.
Chris Bassitt will get the nod Tuesday. The 33-year-old righty has struggled a lot over his previous five starts, tallying a disastrous 7.62 ERA and 5.75 FIP. Last Wednesday, Bassitt has yielded seven runs (six earned) through 3.1 frames of work in a heavy 13-2 loss at the Padres. He’s now 4-4 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 12 starts (68.1 innings) in 2022.
- 1-8 in the last nine games overall
- 1-4 in the last five games on the road
- 1-5 in Adrian Houser’s last six starts
- 11-5 in the last 16 games overall
- 8-0 in the last eight games at home
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets Pick
The Mets own the best record in the National League. Their offense has been consistent since Opening Day, so I’m backing the Mets to prevail over the Brewers in this clash. Both starting pitchers have been pretty much awful as of late, and it’s been a similar story with the Brewers’ and Mets’ relievers.
New York is undefeated in eight straight outings at Citi Field. On the other side, Milwaukee has dropped four of its previous five road contests, allowing 32 runs in the process.
Pick: Take New York Mets at -145
On paper, the Brewers’ bullpen is one of the best in the majors, but it owns a poor 5.23 ERA and 5.70 FIP in June. On the other side, the Mets’ bullpen has registered a disappointing 5.03 ERA and 5.20 FIP through the first 12 days in June.
If one of the starting pitchers begins to struggle early, we will see a proper high-scoring affair. The over is 4-1 in Milwaukee’s last five contests, and it is 13-6 in the Mets’ previous 19 showings at any location.
Pick: Go over 8.0 runs at -105