The 2022 MLB season goes on Wednesday, June 8, with the closing contest of a three-game National League series at Petco Park in San Diego, so we bring you the best Mets vs. Padres betting pick along with the latest odds update on BetRivers NY Sportsbook.
The Padres are slight favorites for Wednesday’s clash after suffering an 11-5 defeat in the opener (Tuesday night’s middle game has been excluded from the analysis). It’s Sean Manaea’s turn in the Pads’ rotation, while the Mets should give Chris Bassitt a nod.
The Mets hammered San Diego on the back of Eduardo Escobar’s cycle
The New York Mets dominated the Padres in Monday’s opener. Carlos Carrasco whiffed ten across seven innings of a two-run ball, while Eduardo Escobar completed his first cycle with a two-run triple in the top of the ninth.
The Mets improved to 38-19 on the season, topping the NL East nine games above the Atlanta Braves. New York boasts the second-highest scoring offense in the majors (5.21 runs per game) and the seventh-lowest ERA (3.62).
Chris Bassitt’s first season with the Mets is pretty much a mixed bag. He’s had a few really rough outings and carries a 4-3 record, 3.74 ERA, and 1.17 WHIP into Wednesday’s date with the Padres. The 33-year-old righty took a loss last Friday, yielding four runs (three earned) on five hits and two walks across six frames in a 6-1 defeat at the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Padres stopped their win streak in Monday’s opener
The 33-21 San Diego Padres entered the Mets series riding a three-game winning streak, which included a couple of shutouts on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers. Blake Snell got the starting call last Monday and yielded five runs (four earned) on seven hits and three walks through four innings of work. Craig Stammen gave up four more in relief, and the Pads returned to losing ways.
San Diego has gone only 5-8 in its previous 13 games overall, posting a solid 3.55 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and .217 batting average against. The Padres have scored just 45 runs in that stretch while posting the fifth-lowest OPS in the majors (.639).
Sean Manaea holds a serviceable 3.77 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in ten starts (62 innings) in 2022. The 30-year-old left-hander has recorded four straight no-decisions, posting a 3.81 ERA, 3.87 FIP, and 30/9 K/BB ratio across 26 frames in the process. Last Thursday, Manaea fanned eight through six innings of a one-run ball, but the Padres lost 5-4 to the Brewers eventually.
- 8-2 in the last ten games overall
- 1-5 in the last six games against the Mets
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Pick
The Padres’ offense is in a slump and has been more dangerous against the lefties so far this season. Hereof, I lean toward the Mets, whose offense has slashed a terrific .296/.360/.478 over the last couple of weeks.
San Diego’s bullpen has struggled over the last two weeks, too, compiling a 4.97 ERA, 4.43 FIP, and .315 BABIP. The Mets’ bullpen has registered a 2.98 ERA, 3.70 FIP, and .257 BABIP in that two-week stretch.
Pick: Take New York Mets at +100
I’m not sure what to expect from Chris Bassitt and Sean Manaea in this one. Bassitt has a terrible 6.35 ERA and 6.40 FIP in his last four starts (22.2 innings). On the other side, Manaea has allowed at least three earned runs in six of his previous seven outings.
The current San Diego lineup is only 4-for-28 against Bassitt. Manny Machado is 1-for-7, while Eric Hosmer is 2-for-11. On the other side, only three of the current Mets have met Manaea before, but they’ve combined for seven hits and a pair of home runs in 17 at-bats. If the visitors continue to swing a hot bat, Manaea and his relievers will have a tall task to keep them off the scoreboard. Pick: Go over 7.0 runs at -120