Thursday night brings the marquee American League showdown from Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas, so we have prepared the best Yankees vs. Astros betting pick and odds. According to BetMGM Sportsbook, the Yankees are small -110 road favorites, while the Astros are +100 moneyline dogs with a total of 8.5 runs.
These two foes meet for the second time in just four days. Last Sunday, the Yankees outlasted the Astros 6-3 in ten innings to split a four-game series at Yankee Stadium in New York.
The Yankees aim for their fifth straight W
The New York Yankees beat the lowly Oakland Athletics 5-3 on Wednesday afternoon to sweep a three-game home series against the worst team in the majors. The Yankees improved their MLB-best record to 56-20, topping the AL East 13 games above the second-placed Toronto Blue Jays.
In the last seven days, which include a four-game set against the Astros, the Yankees have scored 30 runs across seven games and 208 at-bats while hitting .163/.275/.351. They still own the second-highest OPS in the majors (.757).
Luis Severino will toe the rubber Thursday at Minute Maid Park. He was charged for a loss in a 3-1 defeat to the Astros this past Friday, surrendering three earned runs on five hits across six innings of work. Severino is now 4-2 with a solid 3.38 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and 87/21 K/BB ratio in 13 starts (72 innings) this season.
The Astros just swept an interleague set against the Mets
The Houston Astros blanked the New York Mets 2-0 on Wednesday afternoon to sweep their four-game regular-season series. After a couple of wins at home last week, the Astros routed the Mets 9-1 last Tuesday in the opener of a two-game interleague set at Citi Field in New York.
Over their last six outings, the Astros have accounted for 26 runs on a .237/.319/.425 slash line while posting a firm 2.32 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and .136 opposing batting average on the pitching side of things. Luis Garcia will take the mound Thursday and meet the Yankees for the first time in 2022.
Garcia is 5-5 with a 3.68 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and 74/19 K/BB ratio in 13 starts (71 frames) this season. The 25-year-old right-hander shoots for his third straight win after allowing five earned runs across 11 innings of work against the Mets and Rangers.
- 6-13 in the last 19 road games against the Astros
- 10-3 in the last 13 games overall
- 5-1 in the last six games at home
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Pick
Thursday’s clash between the Yankees and Astros will be a joy to watch and could easily go either way. Last week’s series at Yankee Stadium was a proper nail-biter, and we should see more of the same at Minute Maid Park. The Yankees walked it off in both wins over the Astros, who won a couple of games on the back of their pitching staff, 3-1 and 3-0.
I lean the Astros this time around. They are 13-6 in the last 19 home games against the Yankees. Also, the Astros have played very well on both sides of the ball in the last couple of weeks and won ten of their previous 13 contests.
Pick: Take Houston Astros at +100
It’s hard to trust the starting duo, so I’m backing the over on the totals. Luis Severino has slowed down and yielded eight earned runs and three homers in his last two starts, while Luis Garcia has surrendered ten earned runs over his previous three starts and 15.1 innings of work.
Both teams can mash, but on the other hand, their bullpens are among the best in the majors. The Astros’ relievers have had a couple of duds in the last ten days, tallying a 5.06 ERA and 5.34 FIP, while the Yankees’ bullpen has registered a 2.67 ERA and 4.75 FIP in that span.
Pick: Go over 8.5 runs at -105