Another busy night in the MLB awaits us this Saturday, September 10, when we have all 30 teams in action, including these two divisional rivals, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Mets vs. Marlins betting pick and odds.
New York and Miami will play the second of a three-game series at LoanDepot Park, and the Mets are –151 moneyline favorites on FanDuel NY, while the total is set at 7.5 runs. These National League East foes have met 14 times this season before this series, and the Mets lead 10-4. Game 1 of the series will be played on Friday night.
Mets concluded the series against the Pirates in style
The New York Mets opened a three-game road series against the Pittsburgh Pirates with a shocking 8-2 defeat but managed to bounce back and win the next two games. New York dismantled the Pirates 10-0 in Game 3 to stay ahead of the Atlanta Braves, who won seven in a row and are breathing on the Mets’ neck at the top of the NL East.
The Mets recorded even 17 hits opposite Miami’s four in a 10-0 victory, and it’s interesting that New York didn’t hit a single home run in the process. Francisco Lindor led the team offensively with three RBIs, while Jeff McNeil had two. Jacob deGrom (5-1) enjoyed a dominant start as he pitched for 7.0 shutout innings and fanned eight batters with a walk.
Carlos Carrasco (13-6) will get up to the hill for the 25th time this year when he faces the Marlins on Saturday. The 35-year-old right-hander owns a respectable 3.91 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and 126/35 K/BB ratio across 129.0 innings.
Marlins snapped a losing run with a win over the Phillies
The Miami Marlins were on a nine-game losing streak but avoided the tenth consecutive loss with a 6-5 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies on the road. During this losing run, Miami lost the series to the Dodgers, Rays, Braves, and Phillies.
The Marlins have to thank Philadelphia’s first baseman Rhys Hoskins for a 6-5 win. Hoskins made an error and directly helped Miami to tie the game in the 9th inning, after which Brian Anderson hit an RBI single to give the visitors a lead. Sandy Alcantara (12-7) surrendered three runs on eight hits with seven strikeouts and no walks in 6.0 innings. Dylan Floro (1-2) was credited with his first victory of the season.
Pablo Lopez (8-9) is getting his 28th start of the year when he takes on the Mets on Saturday. The 26-year-old righty has a 3.66 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 149/46 K/BB ratio over 150.0 innings of work.
Trends:
New York:
- 35-16 in the last 51 vs. National League East rivals
- 22-9 in the last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter
- 9-3 in the last 12 Saturday games
Miami:
- 7-19 in the last 26 vs. National League East opponents
- 6-22 in the last 28 home games
- 1-9 in the last ten Saturday games
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Pick
Pablo Lopez had a rock-solid first two months of the season, but in June, July, and August, he didn’t play at his level. September also didn’t start well for him as he took a loss against the Braves, while the numbers are not good for Lopez against the Mets this year. Pablo has a 9.00 ERA in 13.0 innings in three starts (1-2) against New York. Carrasco, on the other hand, recorded two wins (2-0) in three starts against Miami and posted a rock-solid 2.29 ERA over 19.2 innings. This matchup is on New York’s side and I am backing the visitors to get a win. The Marlins are 0-5 in Lopez’s last five home starts.
Pick: Take the Mets to win (-150)
The Total
The Mets’ batters are averaging .305 against Lopez with 15 RBIs in 105 at-bats. Mark Canha, Francisco Lindor, Jeff McNeil, and Brandon Nimmo have excellent records against Pablo, and I expect this quartet to cause him trouble yet again. Over is 5-2 in the Mets’ last seven overall, while Over is 5-2 in New York’s previous seven vs. National League East rivals. Even though Miami is not the best team to bet on when it comes to Over/Under with a 58-73-5 O/U record, Lopez is not pitching well, and I think he will surrender multiple runs early on.
Pick: Go Over 7.5 runs (-110)
