At 7:30 ET, the Brooklyn Nets (-129) will host the Miami Heat (+107) in a matchup between two Eastern Conference teams. The Nets are favored by 1.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 217 on the FanDuel App.
Brooklyn is currently 10th in the East with a 16-22 record, while Miami is 5th at 23-16. The Heat come into this game riding a two-game winning streak, while the Nets have lost their last two.
Miami Heat Preview
Miami’s ATS record for the season is now 19-19 after covering the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 11-8 ATS compared to 8-11 ATS at home.
The Heat’s O/U record for the season is 18-21, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line is set at 217, and their games have averaged 223.3 points per game this season.
In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are currently in 5th place with a record of 23-16. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.
Miami’s last game was a 104-87 win over the Hornets. They were favored by 8.5 points in that game and have now won two straight. The game finished with a combined scoring total of 191 points.
As the underdog, Miami has gone 6-11 straight-up this season and 8-9 ATS. They have been the underdog in 17 of their 39 games. Today, they are getting 1.5 points on the spread.
In non-conference games, the Heat are 6-6 compared to 17-10 against the Eastern Conference. On the road, they are 11-9 for the season.
So far this season, the Heat have been a below-average offensive team, ranking 25th in the NBA at 112.3 points per game. However, their offense has been better at home, where they are averaging 115.5 points per game compared to 109.2 on the road.
Miami’s offense has been very efficient from beyond the arc, hitting 38% of their three-point attempts, which is 3rd in the league. Overall, they are shooting 46% from the field, which is 19th in the NBA.
One area where the Heat have struggled is in terms of pace, as they are 29th in the league at just 96.7 possessions per game. In terms of assists, Miami is 15th in the NBA at 26.1 per game.
Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 2nd rank in the NBA, allowing 111.0 points per game. For the season, Miami is ranked 28th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 20.6 free-throws per game vs. the Heat and have an overall field goal percentage of 47.8%.
Brooklyn Nets Preview
Today, the Nets are favored by 1.5 points against the Heat. This season, they have been favored in 14 of their 38 games and have gone 10-4 in those games. However, they have failed to cover the spread in their last three games.
In terms of their ATS record, the Nets are 19-18 overall and 12-6 at home. At home, they have an average scoring margin of +2.9 points per game. Currently, they are 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 16-22.
In their most recent game, the Nets lost to the Cavaliers by a score of 111-102. They were 3.5-point underdogs in that game. The O/U line for that game was 221.5 points, and the teams combined for 213.
On the season, the Nets have an O/U record of 20-18, and their games have averaged 231 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 217, and the Nets have played just one game with a lower O/U line than that.
Against Eastern Conference opponents, the Nets are 13-12 compared to 3-10 in non-conference games. Their ATS record on the road is 7-12, and they are 6-18 straight up on the road.
At 114.6 points per game, the Nets are 18th in the league in scoring. However, when playing at home, they have averaged 116.9 points per game (12th).
Brooklyn’s offense has been heavily reliant on three-point shooting, as they are 8th in the league in made threes (13.6 per game). Overall, they have hit 36% of their attempts from beyond the arc (14th).
On average, the Nets have attempted 22.2 free throws per game (19th). In terms of pace, they are 23rd in the NBA at 98 possessions per contest.
The Nets’ defense is presently ranked 17th in the league, allowing an average of 116.4 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Nets’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.0% and allowing 38.3% from beyond the arc.
Last season, the Heat and Nets did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Nets have the leg up at 2-1. The Nets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 220 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2. As the host vs. the Heat, the Nets have gone 2-1 vs the spread.
How to Bet Nets vs. Heat in New York
Coming in as the underdogs at +1.5, we have the Heat as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline. As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 217, and our model projects the Heat and Nets to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
- SportsBettingNY ATS Prediction: Heat +1.5
- SportsBettingNY OU Prediction: Over 217