The Mets will host the Marlins on Tuesday at 4:10 ET. Marcs Stroman will take the hill for the Mets. Trevor Rogers is scheduled to pitch for the Marlins. Rogers, a lefty, is 7-8 with a 2.67 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Rogers has struck out 151 batters in 128 innings. Stroman has a 3.00 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP and 154 Ks in 174 innings. Stroman has allowed 10 more long balls than Rogers yet he has pitched merely 36 more innings. Let’s take a look at what might transpire on the diamond in tomorrow’ matinee.
The Over/Under
The Mets’ last five games is just as bad as the Marlins’ prior five. The Mets have dropped each of these games, scoring a grand total of 14 runs. In other words, the Mets are averaging less than three runs per game across their last five.
The Marlins have scored 11 runs in their past five, averaging slightly more than two runs per game. Add in the fact that these two squads are rolling out pitchers with 3.00 or less ERAs and there is all the more reason to consider the under. However, hammering the under might not be the best use of your gambling dollars considering the Mets’ lineup has power righties that can mash off a lefty pitcher. Furthermore, the Mets are at home and desperate for a win after alienating their fan base. The Mets’ home record is a surprising 44-33. The Marlins are 24-53 on the road.
A small play on the under might be a good play simply because these two lineups are ice cold and the starting pitchers are their teams’ respective highlights.
The Winner
Marlins’ pitcher Trevor Rogers last pitched against the Mets on Saturday, April 10. Rogers won the game, pitching six innings, allowing three hits and zero runs. Rogers struck out 10 across those six frames and walked two. Stroman last faced the Marlins on May 21. The diminutive righty pitched six frames, allowing two earned runs, walking one and striking out eight. The Mets won the game 6-5 in 12 innings.
The fact that Rogers shut down the Mets the last time he faced them is concerning. However, the Mets are at home and attempting to save face with the fans in preparation for a brighter ’22 campaign.
Look for the Mets’ power hitters to tee off on Rogers, taking him yard a couple times. Stroman should be able to hold the Marlins’ below average lineup to a couple runs. The Mets will snap their skid in tomorrow’s afternoon matinee, beating the Marlins 5-2.
