You can catch this week 15 NFL game between the Cowboys and Bills on FOX at 4:25 (12/17/23). The matchup will take place at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park (NY). Buffalo comes into this non-conference showdown, as the 1.5 point home favorite at DraftKings. Do they have what it takes to pick up the win and cover?
Dallas Cowboys Preview
Heading into their matchup with the Bills, the Cowboys have a 10-3 record. In the NFC-East, they are in 1st place and 2nd place in the NFC overall. Thus far this season, the Cowboys hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 9-4. Their average scoring margin in the current season is +14.5.
On offense, the Cowboys got off to a strong start, putting up 10 first quarter points. Overall they finished with 394 yards of total offense compared to 324 for the Eagles. Going into the game, Dallas was favored by 3.5 and went on to cover the spread. Dak Prescott threw for 271 yards while completing 61% of his passes and throwing for 271. Prescott threw for two touchdowns.
Buffalo Bills Preview
This season, the Bills have achieved an overall record of 7-6, putting them 2nd in the AFC-East. This includes a 1-2 record as underdogs and 6-4 when they are favored. The Bills’ current scoring margin stands at +8, which has them coming in with a 5-8 ATS record.
Going into the fourth-quarter of their game vs. the Chiefs, the Bills led by three and held that lead for the win. Offensively, the Bills went 6/15 on 3rd down and finished with a total of 327 yards of offense. The Chiefs ended the game with 346 yards. Buffalo went into the game as the underdog (+1.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Quarterback Josh Allen threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score. Allen completed 54% of his passes for 233 yards.
Last season, the Cowboys and Bills did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Bills have the leg up at 2-1. The Bills also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 37 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Bills vs. Cowboys Odds Analysis
In the context of the current moneyline odds, Dallas currently holds a 49% implied win probability, accompanied by a moneyline payout of +104. On the flip side, the Bills’ implied win percentage is 56% with a moneyline of -126.
The opening over/under line for this game, as per the oddsmakers, was 49. However, it has been adjusted up to its current line of 50.5, with the over paying out at -110 and the under at -111.
On the point spread, the lines have remained steady, with the Bills opening as 1.5-point favorites at home.
How to Bet Bills vs. Cowboys in New York
Buffalo at -1.5 is my pick for this one. The team’s defense played well in their previous game and I see them carrying this over into this week. I anticipate Buffalo not only winning but also covering the spread against Dallas.
With the over/under line set at 50.5, I’m going with the under. So far this season, games involving Buffalo have averaged 45.5 points per game, and I expect this game to stay below 50.5.
- SportsBettingNY ATS Prediction: Bills -1.5
- SportsBettingNY OU Predict: Under 50.5