The Chiefs will play host to the Bills at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY, with a kickoff scheduled for 6:30 PM ET. The game will be televised on CBS. This week’s AFC clash features the Bills as 2.5 point road favorites at BetMGM.
Kansas City Chiefs Preview
As they approach their game with the Bills, the Chiefs come int with an overall record of 11-6 and have a winning streak of two games. In the AFC-West, Kansas City currently stands at 1st. Kansas City’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at +5.3. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 10-7-1.
The Chiefs went into the 4th quarter leading by 12 and were able to extend that lead in their win over the Dolphins. The Dolphins racked up 264 yards of offense with 76 coming on the ground and 188 in the passing game. On the other end, the Chiefs finished with 409 yards of offense. Going into the game, Kansas City was favored by 4.5 and went on to cover the spread. Patrick Mahomes threw for 262 yards while completing 56% of his passes and throwing for 262. Mahomes threw for one touchdown.
Buffalo Bills Preview
Over the course of 18 games, the Bills have put together a record of 11-6. This positions them 1st in the AFC-East and 2nd in the AFC. When it comes to the spread, the Bills come in at 8-10. Going into the Divisional round, their scoring margin per game is +8.6.
On offense, the Bills got off to a strong start, putting up 14 first quarter points. Overall they finished with 368 yards of total offense compared to 324 for the Steelers. Going into the game, Buffalo was favored by 10 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Josh Allen threw for three touchdowns and ran for 1 score. Allen completed 70% of his passes for 203 yards.
During their first meeting, Bills secured a 20-17 win against Chiefs. Going into the game, it was the Bills who were the underdogs with a +1.5 point spread, and they secured an ATS win. When the game started, the over/under line was 49.5 points, and the team’s fell short of it.
Bills vs. Chiefs Odds Analysis
In the context of the current moneyline odds, Kansas City currently holds a 45% implied win probability, accompanied by a moneyline payout of +121. On the flip side, the Bills’ implied win percentage is 60% with a moneyline of -147.
The oddsmakers initially set the over/under line for this game at 46.5, but it has since been wagered down to its current line of 46, with the over paying out at -110 and the under at -110.
Buffalo is presently the home favorite (-2.5). The point spread has remained fairly steady, with the lines not deviating much from the opening values.
How to Bet Bills vs. Chiefs in New York
For this game, I’m favoring Buffalo to cover the spread at -2.5. Buffalo showcased a strong rushing game in their previous matchup against Pittsburgh, and I expect them to carry that momentum into this week’s matchup. I’ll be placing my bet on Buffalo before the game starts.
Heading into this matchup, Kansas City’s games have averaged 38.8 points per game. Given that the over/under line for this matchup is at 46, I’m taking the under.
- SportsBettingNY ATS Prediction: Bills -2.5
- SportsBettingNY OU Predict: Under 46