Kickoff for the Jets and Patriots matchup on Sunday, January 7th is set for 1:00 ET. This week 18 NFL showdown will be televised on FOX. In a matchup between two AFC teams, the Patriots are 2.5 point favorites at home. Are they the best bet on the spread? You can bet this game at BetMGM. Check out my breakdown and analysis of this matchup below.
New York Jets Preview
Heading into week 18, the Jets are 3rd in the AFC-East on a record of 6-10. When comparing their mark to other teams in the AFC, they are 13th. So far, they have gone 2-5 on the road and 4-5 at home. The Jets have a 5-10-1 ATS record so far. As we enter week 18, their scoring margin per game is -6.3.
In the Jets’ loss to the Browns, they finished with 360 yards of offense and only 17 first downs. The Browns’ offense threw for 301 against the Jets’ secondary and ran for 127 yards. New York’s 17 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 6.5 point underdogs. Trevor Siemian threw for 261 yards while completing 71% of his passes and throwing for 261. Siemian threw for one touchdown.
New England Patriots Preview
This season, the Patriots hold the 4th position in the AFC-East with an overall record of 4-12. Their non-conference game record is 0-5, and in AFC action, they are AFC. New England’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -7.2. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 5-10-1.
In the Patriots’ loss to the Bills, they finished with 294 yards of offense and only 16 first downs. The Bills’ offense threw for 154 against the Patriots’ secondary and ran for 127 yards. Even though New England lost the game straight-up, they did cover the spread as 14.5-point underdogs. Even though Bailey Zappe did not throw for a touchdown, he ran for one score and threw for 209 yards on 26 attempts.
The first matchup between the teams saw, the Patriots win with a 15-10 score over Jets. Taking the point spread into account, Patriots were the favorites by -2.5 and they covered it with a 5 point victory. The over/under line going into the game was 35.5 points, which the teams fell short of.
Patriots vs. Jets Odds Analysis
On the moneyline, the Patriots’ payout has shifted from -125 to where it currently stands at -142. The Jets’ moneyline payout remains where it opened at +118.
The over/under market has witnessed a change since its opening at 38, compared to its current value of 30.5.
From the time the lines were first established, New England has shifted from -1.5 point favorites to their present line of -2.5 (-110). Meanwhile, New York is currently +2.5 (-111) point underdogs on the road.
How to Bet Patriots vs. Jets in New York
A matchup I’m keeping a close eye on is New England’s passing game versus the New York secondary. Considering New York’s difficulties against Cleveland, I’m leaning towards New England to cover with a 2.5-point advantage.
I’m going with the over as my pick, considering the over/under line at 30.5. Thus far, games featuring New England have averaged a combined score of 36.4 points, and I anticipate this game will go beyond 30.5.
- SportsBettingNY ATS Prediction: Patriots -2.5
- SportsBettingNY OU Predict: Over 30.5