Kickoff for the Jets and Browns matchup on Thursday, December 28th is set for 8:15 ET. This week 17 NFL showdown will be televised on AMZN. In a matchup between two AFC teams, Caesars NY the Browns are 7 point favorites at home. Are they the best bet against the spread?
New York Jets Preview
Throughout this season, the Jets have a record of 6-9, which positions them at 3rd in the AFC-East. Their performance reflects a 4-8 record as underdogs and 2-1 when they are favored. The Jets hold a 5-9-1 record against the spread. As we approach week 17, their scoring margin stands at -5.6 per game.
Offensively, the Jets started strong by scoring 17 points in the first quarter. They concluded the game with a total of 381 yards, while the Commanders finished with 245 yards. Even though New York won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 3 point favorites. Trevor Siemian threw for 217 yards while completing 55% of his passes and throwing for 217. Siemian threw for one touchdown.
Cleveland Browns Preview
As they prepare to face the Jets, the Browns hold an overall record of 10-5 and have secured three consecutive victories. Within the AFC-North, Cleveland is in 2nd place. The Browns have a 9-5-1 ATS record so far. As we enter week 17, their scoring margin per game is +2.3.
Key to the Browns’ win, was the fact that they got off to a good start in the first-quarter. Cleveland scored 7 points in the opening period. Overall, the Browns had 418 yards of offense compared to the 250 at 250. Going into the game, Cleveland was favored by 3 and went on to cover the spread. Joe Flacco threw for 368 yards while completing 64% of his passes and throwing for 368. Flacco threw for three touchdowns.
Last year, the Jets and Browns faced off one time, with Jets winning 31-30. With a combined 61 points, the Jets and Browns surpassed the over/under line of 38.5. The Jets covered the spread in this matchup. Offensively, the Jets finished with 402 total yards with 309 coming in the passing game and 93 on the ground. The Browns finished with 405 yards of offense in the loss.
Browns vs. Jets Odds Analysis
Since opening at -185 on the moneyline, Cleveland has shifted to -337, resulting in an implied win percentage of 77%. As for New York, they currently possess implied odds of 28% with a moneyline of +259. The Jets’ moneyline initially opened at +154.
The over/under market has seen a shift since when it opened, with the lines opening at 45 compared to where its currently at (34.5).
Since the lines were initially set, Cleveland has moved from -4 point favorites to their current line of -7 (-108). On the other hand, New York currently finds themselves as +7 (-113) point underdogs on the road.
How to Bet Browns vs. Jets in New York
A key matchup to watch in this game is the Jets’ offense vs. the Browns’ defense. Our projections have the Jets building on their most recent 381 yard performance on offense and putting together another big game vs. Cleveland. I like the Jets at +7.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 38 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 35.5.
- SportsBettingNY ATS Prediction: Jets +7
- SportsBettingNY OU Predict: Over 35.5