Kickoff for the Commanders and Jets matchup on Sunday, December 24th is set for 1:00 ET. This week 16 NFL showdown will be televised on CBS. New York is set to take on the Commanders in this non-conference matchup, and they are favored by 3 at home. If you’re interested, you can bet this game at FanDuel. Read on for my analysis and betting angles.
Washington Commanders Preview
Heading into their 14th game of the season, the Commanders are 4-10 overall and 3-5 on the road. The Commanders are looking to snap a three game road losing streak. In the NFC-East, they are in NFC-East place. The Commanders have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 5-8-1. Their average scoring margin for this season is -10.1.
Washington struggled with a slow start in their defeat against the Rams, failing to register any points in the first quarter. In total, the Commanders managed 297 yards on offense while allowing 445 yards on defense. Washington’s 8 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 6.5 point underdogs. Jacoby Brissett threw for 124 yards while completing 80% of his passes and throwing for 124. Brissett threw for two touchdowns.
New York Jets Preview
Taking a glance at the AFC-East standings, the Jets are 3rd with a record of 5-9. Within the AFC, New York is currently in 15th place as they enter week 16. Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Jets are above .500 at 5-8-1. Their average scoring margin is -6.1.
The Dolphins kept New York out of the endzone, beating the Jets by a score of 30-0. New York’s 30 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 7 point underdogs. Trevor Siemian did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 14 of 26 passes for 110 yards. Siemian ended the game with a passer rating of 32.
Last season, the Commanders and Jets did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Jets have the leg up at 3-0. The Jets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 52 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
Jets vs. Commanders Odds Analysis
To open, Washington was given a moneyline payout of +108 which has now moved to +133. The implied win probabilities based on the odds are 62% for New York and 43% for Washington.
Since its opening at 39.5, the over/under market has experienced a shift, now standing at 38.
From the time the lines were first established, New York has shifted from -2 point favorites to their present line of -3 (-109). Meanwhile, Washington is currently +3 (-113) point underdogs on the road.
How to Bet Jets vs. Commanders in New York
New York’s passing game struggled in their recent matchup against Miami. I don’t anticipate a sudden improvement, which is why I’m favoring Washington as 3-point underdogs.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 38 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 39 points.
- SportsBettingNY ATS Prediction: Commanders +3
- SportsBettingNY OU Predict: Over 38