Week 15 of the 2021 NFL season goes on Sunday, December 19, with the AFC East showdown at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida, so we have prepared the best Jets vs. Dolphins betting pick, tips, and odds.
New York and Miami will close down their regular-season set, and the Dolphins will search for their fourth consecutive victory over the Jets. Back in Week 11, Miami outlasted New York 24-17 as a 4-point road fave. The Dolphins are huge 9.5-point home favorites this time around, while the totals sit at 41.0 points on Caesars Sportsbook.
The Jets suffered a heavy loss in Week 14
The New York Jets are coming off a 30-9 defeat to the New Orleans Saints this past Sunday. They fell to 3-10 SU and ATS on the season, failing to cover a 4.5-point spread in front of the home fans. It was the Jets’ second straight loss and fifth in their previous six outings at any location.
New York racked up only 256 total yards against the Saints. Zach Wilson completed only 19 of his 42 passing attempts for 202 yards, and rookie signal-caller was the Jets’ most prolific rusher with 33 yards on four carries. Rookie RB Michael Carter (ankle) sat out his third straight contest. He’ll be ready to go in Week 15.
The Jets’ offense is averaging only 17.4 points (29th in the NFL) and 84.2 rushing yards per game (30th). On the other side of the ball, New York is surrendering a whopping 30.5 points per contest (32nd) on 392.8 total yards (31st).
The Phins beat the Giants for their fifth straight W
The Miami Dolphins (6-7; 7-5-1 ATS) are rolling on a five-game winning streak following a 20-9 home victory to the New York Giants in Week 13. They are coming fresh off a bye, hoping for another win that will keep their playoff hopes alive.
Miami had no problems beating the injury-depleted Giants. Tua Tagovailoa went 30-of-41 for 244 yards and a couple of touchdowns. Jaylen Waddle had nine catches for 90 yards, while Myles Gaskin added 44 yards on 15 totes.
Over their last five showings, the Dolphins have allowed only 55 points total, holding their opponents below 18 points on all five occasions. Miami is scoring just 19.5 points per contest (25th in the NFL), so the Dolphins have to lean on their defensive unit that has been outstanding as of late.
- 3-12 ATS in the last 15 games overall
- 1-6 ATS in the last seven games on the road
- 0-7 ATS in the last seven games against Miami
- 5-0 ATS in the last five games overall
- 4-1 ATS in the last five games at home
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Pick
The Dolphins should win this game easily, and I can only hope they’ll cover a 9.5-point spread. In that seven-point victory over the Jets a few weeks ago, the Phins have surrendered a field goal with 15 seconds left on the clock.
Miami is still alive in the playoff chase, so beating the lowly Jets is a must. The Dolphins’ defense should continue with a strong performance, while Miami’s struggling offense will have a nice opportunity to get things going against one of the worst defensive teams in the league.
Pick: Take Miami Dolphins -9.5 at -110
The total has gone under in six of the last seven meetings between the Jets and Dolphins, including the previous four. Also, New York and Miami have failed to combine for more than 41 points in five of those seven contests, so I’m backing the under in this one.
If Miami puts on another strong defensive performance, the Jets will be in big trouble. I’m only scared about the Dolphins’ ability to score defensive touchdowns.
Pick: Go under 41.0 points at -110